Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 1.809447e-05 2.211247e-05 0.000027 0.000032 0.000038 0.000044 0.000051
2025-08-24 1.206445e-05 1.689919e-05 0.000023 0.000030 0.000039 0.000049 0.000062
2025-08-31 8.805995e-06 1.398329e-05 0.000021 0.000030 0.000041 0.000055 0.000073
2025-09-07 6.314697e-06 1.140262e-05 0.000019 0.000029 0.000042 0.000059 0.000082
2025-09-14 4.362865e-06 9.064055e-06 0.000016 0.000027 0.000042 0.000062 0.000089
2025-09-21 3.076556e-06 7.387925e-06 0.000014 0.000026 0.000042 0.000065 0.000096
2025-09-28 2.111142e-06 5.955868e-06 0.000013 0.000024 0.000042 0.000067 0.000102
2025-10-05 1.608666e-06 5.235233e-06 0.000012 0.000025 0.000044 0.000071 0.000111
2025-10-12 1.205423e-06 4.576875e-06 0.000012 0.000024 0.000045 0.000076 0.000120
2025-10-19 8.487346e-07 3.871745e-06 0.000011 0.000024 0.000046 0.000079 0.000127
2025-10-26 7.705484e-07 3.880072e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000050 0.000087 0.000143
2025-11-02 5.753321e-07 3.450527e-06 0.000011 0.000026 0.000052 0.000092 0.000152
2025-11-09 2.776167e-07 2.505489e-06 0.000009 0.000024 0.000051 0.000093 0.000158
2025-11-16 1.212070e-07 1.836950e-06 0.000008 0.000023 0.000050 0.000095 0.000166
2025-11-23 5.592900e-08 1.467854e-06 0.000007 0.000022 0.000052 0.000101 0.000179
2025-11-30 1.755607e-08 1.092921e-06 0.000006 0.000021 0.000052 0.000104 0.000189
2025-12-07 2.306832e-09 7.456139e-07 0.000006 0.000020 0.000051 0.000106 0.000196
2025-12-14 3.510092e-11 5.167405e-07 0.000005 0.000019 0.000051 0.000108 0.000205
2025-12-21 NaN 3.374358e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000051 0.000110 0.000212
2025-12-28 NaN 2.603788e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000052 0.000116 0.000226
2026-01-04 NaN 1.940214e-07 0.000004 0.000018 0.000054 0.000121 0.000239
2026-01-11 NaN 1.294309e-07 0.000003 0.000018 0.000054 0.000125 0.000250
2026-01-18 NaN 1.324025e-07 0.000003 0.000019 0.000059 0.000136 0.000274